Samir Bhatt

Samir Bhatt

Professor

Introductory remarks on publicationslist

Google Scholar publication list https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=tL0x_vUAAAAJ&hl=en


Publication year:
  1. 2024
  2. Published

    The Gompertz Law emerges naturally from the inter-dependencies between sub-components in complex organisms

    Yde, Pernille, Jensen, Majken Karoline, Mitarai, Namiko & Bhatt, Samir, 2024, In: Scientific Reports. 14, 1, 11 p., 1196.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  3. Published

    The limits of the constant-rate birth-death prior for phylogenetic tree topology inference

    Khurana, Mark Poulsen, Scheidwasser, Neil Alexandre, Penn, M. J., Bhatt, Samir & Duchene, David, 2024, In: Systematic Biology.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  4. 2023
  5. Published

    An archetypes approach to malaria intervention impact mapping: a new framework and example application

    Bertozzi-Villa, A., Bever, C. A., Gerardin, J., Proctor, J. L., Wu, M., Harding, D., Hollingsworth, T. D., Bhatt, Samir & Gething, P. W., 2023, In: Malaria Journal. 22, 1, 22 p., 138.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  6. Published

    Application of referenced thermodynamic integration to Bayesian model selection

    Hawryluk, I., Mishra, S., Flaxman, S., Bhatt, Samir & Mellan, T. A., 2023, In: PLoS ONE. 18, 8, 16 p., e0289889.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  7. Published

    Assessment of COVID-19 as the Underlying Cause of Death Among Children and Young People Aged 0 to 19 Years in the US

    Flaxman, S., Whittaker, C., Semenova, E., Rashid, T., Parks, R. M., Blenkinsop, A., Unwin, H. J. T., Mishra, S., Bhatt, Samir, Gurdasani, D. & Ratmann, O., 2023, In: JAMA network open. 6, 1, 9 p., e2253590.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  8. Published

    Cancer burden among adolescents and young adults in relation to childhood adversity: a nationwide life-course cohort study of 1.2 million individuals

    Rod, Naja Hulvej, Bengtsson, J., Elsenburg, Leonie K., Davies, Megan, Taylor-Robinson, D., Bhatt, Samir & Rieckmann, Andreas, 2023, In: The Lancet Regional Health - Europe. 27, 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  9. Published

    Conflicting COVID-19 excess mortality estimates

    Bager, P., Nielsen, J., Bhatt, Samir, Nielsen, L., Krause, T. G., Vestergaard, L. S. & The EuroMOMO Network, T. E. N., 2023, In: The Lancet. 401, 10375, p. 432-433 2 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalLetterpeer-review

  10. Published
  11. Published

    Effectiveness assessment of non-pharmaceutical interventions: lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic

    Lison, A., Banholzer, N., Sharma, M., Mindermann, S., Unwin, H. J. T., Mishra, S., Stadler, T., Bhatt, Samir, Ferguson, N. M., Brauner, J. & Vach, W., 2023, In: The Lancet Public Health. 8, 4, p. e311-e317 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalReviewpeer-review

  12. Published

    Effectiveness of social distancing measures and lockdowns for reducing transmission of COVID-19 in non-healthcare, community-based settings

    Murphy, C., Lim, W. W., Mills, C., Wong, J. Y., Chen, D., Xie, Y., Li, M., Gould, S., Xin, H., Cheung, J. K., Bhatt, Samir, Cowling, B. J. & Donnelly, C. A., 2023, In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 381, 2257, 29 p., 20230132.

    Research output: Contribution to journalReviewpeer-review

  13. Published

    Estimating fine age structure and time trends in human contact patterns from coarse contact data: The Bayesian rate consistency model

    Dan, S., Chen, Y., Chen, Y., Monod, M., Jaeger, V. K., Bhatt, Samir, Karch, A., Ratmann, O. & Machine Learning & Global Health network, M. L. &. G. H. N., 2023, In: PLOS Computational Biology. 19, 6, 30 p., e1011191.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  14. Published

    Estimating the epidemic reproduction number from temporally aggregated incidence data: A statistical modelling approach and software tool

    Nash, R. K., Bhatt, Samir, Cori, A. & Nouvellet, P., 2023, In: PLOS Computational Biology. 19, 8, 14 p., e1011439.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  15. Published

    Impact of proactive and reactive vaccination strategies for health-care workers against MERS-CoV: a mathematical modelling study

    Laydon, D. J., Cauchemez, S., Hinsley, W. R., Bhatt, Samir & Ferguson, N. M., 2023, In: The Lancet Global Health. 11, 5, p. E759-E769 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  16. Published

    Intrinsic randomness in epidemic modelling beyond statistical uncertainty

    Penn, M. J., Laydon, D. J., Penn, J., Whittaker, Charles Frederick, Morgenstern, C., Ratmann, O., Mishra, S., Pakkanen, M. S., Donnelly, C. A. & Bhatt, Samir, 2023, In: Communications Physics. 6, 1, 9 p., 146.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  17. Published

    Leaping through Tree Space: Continuous Phylogenetic Inference for Rooted and Unrooted Trees

    Penn, M. J., Scheidwasser, Neil Alexandre, Penn, J., Donnelly, C. A., Duchene, David & Bhatt, Samir, 2023, In: Genome Biology and Evolution. 15, 12, 17 p., evad213.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  18. Published

    Long-term exposure to air pollution and risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 hospitalization or death: Danish nationwide cohort study

    Zhang, Jiawei, Lim, Youn-Hee, So, Rina, Jørgensen, J. T., Mortensen, Laust Hvas, Napolitano, George, Cole-Hunter, Thomas, Loft, Steffen, Bhatt, Samir, Hoek, G., Brunekreef, B., Westendorp, Rudi GJ, Ketzel, M., Brandt, J., Lange, Theis, Kølsen-Fisher, T. & Andersen, Zorana Jovanovic, 2023, In: The European respiratory journal. 61, 6, 50 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  19. Published
  20. Published

    Mapping malaria incidence using routine health facility surveillance data in Uganda

    Epstein, A., Namuganga, J. F., Nabende, I., Kamya, E. V., Kamya, M. R., Dorsey, G., Sturrock, H., Bhatt, Samir, Rodriguez-Barraquer, I. & Greenhouse, B., 2023, In: BMJ Global Health. 8, 5, 10 p., 011137.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  21. No evidence of sustained nonzoonotic Plasmodium knowlesi transmission in Malaysia from modelling malaria case data

    Fornace, K. M., Topazian, H. M., Routledge, I., Asyraf, S., Jelip, J., Lindblade, K. A., Jeffree, M. S., Ruiz Cuenca, P., Bhatt, Samir, Ahmed, K., Ghani, A. C. & Drakeley, C., 2023, In: Nature Communications. 14, 1, 2945.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  22. Published
  23. E-pub ahead of print

    Pyfectious: An individual-level simulator to discover optimal containment policies for epidemic diseases

    Mehrjou, A., Soleymani, A., Abyaneh, A., Bhatt, Samir, Schölkopf, B. & Bauer, S., 2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: PLOS Computational Biology. 19, 1, e1010799.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  24. Published

    Regularised B-splines Projected Gaussian Process Priors to Estimate Time-trends in Age-specific COVID-19 Deaths

    Monod, M., Blenkinsop, A., Brizzi, A., Chen, Y., Cardoso Correia Perello, C., Jogarah, V., Wang, Y., Flaxman, S., Bhatt, Samir & Ratmann, O., 2023, In: Bayesian Analysis. 18, 3, 31 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  25. Published

    Seasonal dynamics of Anopheles stephensi and its implications for mosquito detection and emergent malaria control in the Horn of Africa

    Whittaker, Charles Frederick, Hamlet, A., Sherrard-Smith, E., Winskill, P., Cuomo-Dannenburg, G., Walker, P. G. T., Sinka, M., Pironon, S., Kumar, A., Ghani, A., Bhatt, Samir & Churcher, T. S., 2023, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 120, 8, 9 p., e2216142120.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  26. Published

    Semi-mechanistic Bayesian modelling of COVID-19 with renewal processes

    Bhatt, Samir, Ferguson, N., Flaxman, S., Gandy, A., Mishra, S. & Scott, J. A., 2023, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society. 186, 4, p. 633-636 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  27. Published

    Seq2Seq Surrogates of Epidemic Models to Facilitate Bayesian Inference

    Charles, G., Wolock, T. M., Winskill, P., Ghani, A., Bhatt, Samir & Flaxman, S., 2023, AAAI-23 Special Tracks. Williams, B., Chen, Y. & Neville, J. (eds.). AAAI Press, p. 14170-14177 8 p. (Proceedings of the 37th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, AAAI 2023, Vol. 37).

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingArticle in proceedingsResearchpeer-review

  28. Spatiotemporal and Seasonal Trends of Class A and B Notifiable Infectious Diseases in China: Retrospective Analysis

    Zheng, J., Zhang, N., Shen, G., Liang, F., Zhao, Y., He, X., Wang, Y., He, R., Chen, W., Xue, H., Shen, Y., Fu, Y., Zhang, W. H., Zhang, L., Bhatt, Samir, Mao, Y. & Zhu, B., 2023, In: JMIR Public Health and Surveillance. 9, 19 p., e42820.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  29. Published

    Unifying incidence and prevalence under a time-varying general branching process

    Pakkanen, M. S., Miscouridou, X., Penn, M. J., Whittaker, Charles Frederick, Berah, T., Mishra, S., Mellan, T. A. & Bhatt, Samir, 2023, In: Journal of Mathematical Biology. 87, 2, 34 p., 35.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  30. 2022
  31. Published

    π VAE: a stochastic process prior for Bayesian deep learning with MCMC

    Mishra, S., Flaxman, S., Berah, T., Zhu, H., Pakkanen, M. & Bhatt, Samir, 2022, In: Statistics and Computing. 32, 6, 16 p., 96.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  32. A COVID-19 model for local authorities of the United Kingdom

    Mishra, S., Scott, J. A., Laydon, D. J., Zhu, H., Ferguson, N. M., Bhatt, Samir, Flaxman, S. & Gandy, A., 2022, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society. 185, p. S86-S95 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  33. Published

    A dataset of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 in Europe

    Altman, G., Ahuja, J., Monrad, J. T., Dhaliwal, G., Rogers-Smith, C., Leech, G., Snodin, B., Sandbrink, J. B., Finnveden, L., Norman, A. J., Oehm, S. B., Sandkuehler, J. F., Kulveit, J., Flaxman, S., Gal, Y., Mishra, S., Bhatt, Samir, Sharma, M., Mindermann, S. & Brauner, J. M., 2022, In: Scientific Data. 9, 1, 9 p., 145.

    Research output: Contribution to journalEditorialpeer-review

  34. Published

    A novel statistical framework for exploring the population dynamics and seasonality of mosquito populations

    Whittaker, C., Winskill, P., Sinka, M., Pironon, S., Massey, C., Weiss, D. J., Nguyen, M., Gething, P. W., Kumar, A., Ghani, A. & Bhatt, Samir, 2022, In: Proceedings. Biological sciences. 289, 1972, 10 p., 20220089.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  35. Comparative analysis of the risks of hospitalisation and death associated with SARS-CoV-2 omicron (B.1.1.529) and delta (B.1.617.2) variants in England: a cohort study

    Nyberg, T., Ferguson, N. M., Nash, S. G., Webster, H. H., Flaxman, S., Andrews, N., Hinsley, W., Bernal, J. L., Kall, M., Bhatt, S., Blomquist, P., Zaidi, A., Volz, E., Aziz, N. A., Harman, K., Funk, S., Abbott, S., Hope, R., Charlett, A., Chand, M. & 7 others, Ghani, A. C., Seaman, S. R., Dabrera, G., De Angelis, D., Presanis, A. M., Thelwall, S. & COVID 19 Genom UK COG UK Consortiu, C. 1. G. U. C. U. C., 2022, In: Lancet. 399, 10332, p. 1303-1312 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  36. Published

    Context-specific emergence and growth of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant

    McCrone, J. T., Hill, V., Bajaj, S., Pena, R. E., Lambert, B. C., Inward, R., Bhatt, S., Volz, E., Ruis, C., Dellicour, S., Baele, G., Zarebski, A. E., Sadilek, A., Wu, N., Schneider, A., Ji, X., Raghwani, J., Jackson, B., Colquhoun, R., O’Toole, Á. & 21 others, Peacock, T. P., Twohig, K., Thelwall, S., Dabrera, G., Myers, R., Faria, N. R., Huber, C., Bogoch, I. I., Khan, K., du Plessis, L., Barrett, J. C., Aanensen, D. M., Barclay, W. S., Chand, M., Connor, T., Loman, N. J., Suchard, M. A., Pybus, O. G., Rambaut, A., Kraemer, M. U. G. & The COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) Consortium, T. C. G. U. (. C., 2022, In: Nature. 610, 7930, p. 154-160 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  37. Published

    Global disparities in SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance

    Brito, A. F., Semenova, E., Dudas, G., Hassler, G. W., Kalinich, C. C., Kraemer, M. U. G., Ho, J., Tegally, H., Githinji, G., Agoti, C. N., Matkin, L. E., Whittaker, C., Howden, B. P., Sintchenko, V., Zuckerman, N. S., Mor, O., Blankenship, H. M., de Oliveira, T., Lin, R. T. P., Siqueira, M. M. & 26 others, Resende, P. C., Vasconcelos, A. T. R., Spilki, F. R., Aguiar, R. S., Alexiev, I., Ivanov, I. N., Philipova, I., Carrington, C. V. F., Sahadeo, N. S. D., Gurry, C., Maurer-Stroh, S., Naidoo, D., von Eije, K. J., Perkins, M. D., van Kerkhove, M., Hill, S. C., Sabino, E. C., Pybus, O. G., Dye, C., Bhatt, Samir, Flaxman, S., Suchard, M. A., Grubaugh, N. D., Baele, G., Faria, N. R. & Danish Covid-19 Genome Consortium, D. C. G. C., 2022, (medRxiv).

    Research output: Working paperPreprintResearch

  38. Published

    Global disparities in SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance

    Communicable Diseases Genomics Network (Australia and New Zealand), C. D. G. N. (. A. N. Z., COVID-19 Impact Project, C. I. P., Danish Covid-19 Genome Consortium, D. C. G. C., Fiocruz COVID-19 Genomic Surveillance Network, F. C. G. S. N., GISAID core curation team, G. C. C. T., Network for Genomic Surveillance in South Africa (NGS-SA), N. F. G. S. I. S. A. (., Swiss SARS-CoV-2 Sequencing Consortium, S. S. S. C. & Bulgarian SARS-CoV-2 sequencing group, B. S. S. G., 2022, In: Nature Communications. 13, p. 7003 1 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  39. Published

    Global, regional, and national minimum estimates of children affected by COVID-19-associated orphanhood and caregiver death, by age and family circumstance up to Oct 31, 2021: an updated modelling study

    Unwin, H. J. T., Hillis, S., Cluver, L., Flaxman, S., Goldman, P. S., Butchart, A., Bachman, G., Rawlings, L., Donnelly, C. A., Ratmann, O., Green, P., Nelson, C. A., Blenkinsop, A., Bhatt, Samir, Desmond, C., Villaveces, A. & Sherr, L., 2022, In: The Lancet Child & Adolescent Health. 6, 4, p. 249-259 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  40. Published

    Mask wearing in community settings reduces SARS-CoV-2 transmission

    Leech, G., Rogers-Smith, C., Monrad, J. T., Sandbrink, J. B., Snodin, B., Zinkov, R., Rader, B., Brownstein, J. S., Gal, Y., Bhatt, Samir, Sharma, M., Mindermann, S., Brauner, J. M. & Aitchison, L., 2022, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 119, 23, 9 p., e2119266119.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  41. Published

    Misclassification bias in estimating clinical severity of SARS-CoV-2 variants – Authors' reply

    Nyberg, T., Ferguson, N. M., Blake, J., Hinsley, W., Bhatt, Samir, De Angelis, D., Thelwall, S. & Presanis, A. M., 2022, In: The Lancet. 400, 10355, p. 809-810 2 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalLetterpeer-review

  42. Published

    Modeling DREAMS impact: trends in new HIV diagnoses among women attending antenatal care clinics in DREAMS countries

    Saul, J., Cooney, C., Hosseini, P. R., Beamon, T., Toiv, N., Bhatt, Samir, Zaidi, I. & Birx, D., 2022, In: AIDS. 36, p. S51-S59 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  43. Novel Epidemic Metrics to Communicate Outbreak Risk at the Municipality Level: Dengue and Zika in the Dominican Republic

    Kingston, R., Routledge, I., Bhatt, Samir & Bowman, L. R., 2022, In: Viruses. 14, 1, 18 p., 162.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  44. PriorVAE: Encoding spatial priors with variational autoencoders for small-area estimation

    Semenova, E., Xu, Y., Howes, A., Rashid, T., Bhatt, Samir, Mishra, S. & Flaxman, S., 2022, In: Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 19, 191, 11 p., 20220094.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  45. Purifying Selection Determines the Short-Term Time Dependency of Evolutionary Rates in SARS-CoV-2 and pH1N1 Influenza

    Ghafari, M., Du Plessis, L., Raghwani, J., Bhatt, Samir, Xu, B., Pybus, O. G. & Katzourakis, A., 2022, In: MOLECULAR BIOLOGY AND EVOLUTION . 39, 2, 8 p., msac009.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  46. Quantifying Changes in Vaccine Coverage in Mainstream Media as a Result of the COVID-19 Outbreak: Text Mining Study

    Christensen, B., Laydon, D., Chelkowski, T., Jemielniak, D., Vollmer, M., Bhatt, Samir & Krawczyk, K., 2022, In: JMIR Infodemiology. 2, 2, 15 p., e35121.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  47. Resurgence of malaria in Uganda despite sustained indoor residual spraying and repeated long lasting insecticidal net distributions

    Epstein, A., Maiteki-sebuguzi, C., Namuganga, J. F., Nankabirwa, J. I., Gonahasa, S., Opigo, J., Staedke, S. G., Rutazaana, D., Arinaitwe, E., Kamya, M. R., Bhatt, Samir, Rodríguez-barraquer, I., Greenhouse, B., Donnelly, M. J., Dorsey, G. & Ashton, R. (ed.), 2022, In: PLOS Global Public Health. 2, 9, 18 p., e0000676.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  48. Published

    Risk of hospitalisation associated with infection with SARS-CoV-2 omicron variant versus delta variant in Denmark: an observational cohort study

    Bager, P., Wohlfahrt, J., Bhatt, S., Stegger, M., Legarth, R., Møller, C. H., Skov, R. L., Valentiner-Branth, P., Voldstedlund, M., Fischer, T. K., Simonsen, L., Kirkby, N. S., Thomsen, M. K., Spiess, K., Marving, E., Larsen, N. B., Lillebaek, T., Ullum, H., Mølbak, K., Krause, T. G. & 28 others, Edslev, S. M., Sieber, R. N., Ingham, A. C., Overvad, M., Agermose Gram, M., Kristensen Lomholt, F., Hallundbæk, L., Hjorth Espensen, C., Gubbels, S., Karakis, M., Lauenborg Møller, K., Schytte Olsen, S., Harboe, Zitta F B Barrella, Klint Johannesen, C., van Wijhe, M., Holler, J. G., Dessau, R. B. C., Barfred Friis, M., Fuglsang-Damgaard, D., Pinholt, M., Vognbjerg Sydenham, T., Coia, J. E., Marmolin, E. S., Fomsgaard, A., Fonager, J., Rasmussen, M., Cohen, A. & the Omicron-Delta study group, T. O. S. G., 2022, In: The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 22, 7, p. 967-976 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  49. Published

    Seasonal variation in SARS-CoV-2 transmission in temperate climates: A Bayesian modelling study in 143 European regions

    Gavenciak, T., Monrad, J. T., Leech, G., Sharma, M., Mindermann, S., Bhatt, Samir, Brauner, J. & Kulveit, J., 2022, In: PLoS Computational Biology. 18, 8, 14 p., 1010435.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  50. Published

    Spatial and temporal fluctuations in COVID-19 fatality rates in Brazilian hospitals

    Brizzi, A., Whittaker, C., Servo, L. M. S., Hawryluk, I., Prete, C. A., de Souza, W. M., Aguiar, R. S., Araujo, L. J. T., Bastos, L. S., Blenkinsop, A., Buss, L. F., Candido, D., Castro, M. C., Costa, S. F., Croda, J., de Souza Santos, A. A., Dye, C., Flaxman, S., Fonseca, P. L. C., Geddes, V. E. V. & 21 others, Gutierrez, B., Lemey, P., Levin, A. S., Mellan, T., Bonfim, D. M., Miscouridou, X., Mishra, S., Monod, M., Moreira, F. R. R., Nelson, B., Pereira, R. H. M., Ranzani, O., Schnekenberg, R. P., Semenova, E., Sonabend, R., Souza, R. P., Xi, X., Sabino, E. C., Faria, N. R., Bhatt, Samir & Ratmann, O., 2022, In: Nature Medicine. 28, 7, p. 1476-1485 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  51. Published

    The overlapping burden of the three leading causes of disability and death in sub-Saharan African children

    LBD Triple Burden Collaborators, L. T. B. C., 2022, In: Nature Communications. 13, 1, 7457.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  52. 2021
  53. Published

    Assessing transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England

    Volz, E., Mishra, S., Chand, M., Barrett, J. C., Johnson, R., Geidelberg, L., Hinsley, W. R., Laydon, D. J., Dabrera, G., O’Toole, Á., Amato, R., Ragonnet-Cronin, M., Harrison, I., Jackson, B., Ariani, C. V., Boyd, O., Loman, N. J., McCrone, J. T., Gonçalves, S., Jørgensen, D. & 14 others, Myers, R., Hill, V., Jackson, D. K., Gaythorpe, K., Groves, N., Sillitoe, J., Kwiatkowski, D. P., Flaxman, S., Ratmann, O., Bhatt, Samir, Hopkins, S., Gandy, A., Rambaut, A. & Ferguson, N. M., 13 May 2021, In: Nature. 593, p. 266-269 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  54. Leveraging community mortality indicators to infer COVID-19 mortality and transmission dynamics in Damascus, Syria

    Watson, O. J., Alhaffar, M., Mehchy, Z., Whittaker, C., Akil, Z., Brazeau, N. F., Cuomo-Dannenburg, G., Hamlet, A., Thompson, H. A., Baguelin, M., FitzJohn, R. G., Knock, E., Lees, J. A., Whittles, L. K., Mellan, T., Winskill, P., Bhatt, S., Djaafara, B. A., Donnelly, C. A., Flaxman, S. & 15 others, Gaythorpe, K. A. M., Imai, N., Jauneikaite, E., Laydon, D. J., Mishra, S., Unwin, H. J. T., Verity, R., Howard, N., Clapham, H., Checchi, F., Ferguson, N., Ghani, A., Beals, E., Walker, P. & Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team, I. C. C. R. T., Jan 2021, In: Nature Communications. 12, 1, 13 p., 2394.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  55. Published

    A unified machine learning approach to time series forecasting applied to demand at emergency departments

    Vollmer, M. A. C., Glampson, B., Mellan, T., Mishra, S., Mercuri, L., Costello, C., Klaber, R., Cooke, G., Flaxman, S. & Bhatt, Samir, 2021, In: BMC Emergency Medicine. 21, 1, 14 p., 9.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  56. Published

    Changing composition of SARS-CoV-2 lineages and rise of Delta variant in England

    Mishra, S., Mindermann, S., Sharma, M., Whittaker, C., Mellan, T. A., Wilton, T., Klapsa, D., Mate, R., Fritzsche, M., Zambon, M., Ahuja, J., Howes, A., Miscouridou, X., Nason, G. P., Ratmann, O., Semenova, E., Leech, G., Sandkuehler, J. F., Rogers-Smith, C., Vollmer, M. & 10 others, Unwin, H. J. T., Gal, Y., Chand, M., Gandy, A., Martin, J., Volz, E., Ferguson, N. M., Bhatt, Samir, Brauner, J. M. & Flaxman, S., 2021, In: EClinicalMedicine. 39, 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  57. Comparing the responses of the UK, Sweden and Denmark to COVID-19 using counterfactual modelling

    Mishra, S., Scott, J. A., Laydon, D. J., Flaxman, S., Gandy, A., Mellan, T. A., Unwin, H. J. T., Vollmer, M., Coupland, Helen Louise, Ratmann, O., Monod, M., Zhu, H. H., Cori, A., Gaythorpe, K. A. M., Whittles, L. K., Whittaker, C., Donnelly, C. A., Ferguson, N. M. & Bhatt, Samir, 2021, In: Scientific Reports. 11, 1, 16342.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  58. Database of epidemic trends and control measures during the first wave of COVID-19 in mainland China

    Fu, H., Wang, H., Xi, X., Boonyasiri, A., Wang, Y., Hinsley, W., Fraser, K. J., McCabe, R., Olivera Mesa, D., Skarp, J., Ledda, A., Dewé, T., Dighe, A., Winskill, P., van Elsland, S. L., Ainslie, K. E. C., Baguelin, M., Bhatt, S., Boyd, O., Brazeau, N. F. & 41 others, Cattarino, L., Charles, G., Coupland, Helen Louise, Cucunuba, Z. M., Cuomo-Dannenburg, G., Donnelly, C. A., Dorigatti, I., Eales, O. D., FitzJohn, R. G., Flaxman, S., Gaythorpe, K. A. M., Ghani, A. C., Green, W. D., Hamlet, A., Hauck, K., Haw, D. J., Jeffrey, B., Laydon, D. J., Lees, J. A., Mellan, T., Mishra, S., Nedjati-Gilani, G., Nouvellet, P., Okell, L., Parag, K. V., Ragonnet-Cronin, M., Riley, S., Schmit, N., Thompson, H. A., Unwin, H. J. T., Verity, R., Vollmer, M. A. C., Volz, E., Walker, P. G. T., Walters, C. E., Watson, O. J., Whittaker, C., Whittles, L. K., Imai, N., Bhatia, S. & Ferguson, N. M., 2021, In: International Journal of Infectious Diseases. 102, p. 463-471 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  59. Evidence of initial success for China exiting COVID-19 social distancing policy after achieving containment

    Ainslie, K. E. C., Walters, C. E., Fu, H., Bhatia, S., Wang, H., Xi, X., Baguelin, M., Bhatt, S., Boonyasiri, A., Boyd, O., Cattarino, L., Ciavarella, C., Cucunuba, Z., Cuomo-Dannenburg, G., Dighe, A., Dorigatti, I., van Elsland, S. L., John, R. F., Gaythorpe, K., Ghani, A. C. & 22 others, Green, W., Hamlet, A., Hinsley, W., Imai, N., Jørgensen, D., Knock, E., Laydon, D., Nedjati-Gilani, G., Okell, L. C., Siveroni, I., Thompson, H. A., Unwin, H. J. T., Verity, R., Vollmer, M., Walker, P. G. T., Wang, Y., Watson, O. J., Whittaker, C., Winskill, P., Donnelly, C. A., Ferguson, N. M. & Riley, S., 2021, In: Wellcome Open Research. 5, p. 1-14 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  60. Published

    Gaussian Process Nowcasting: Application to COVID-19 Mortality Reporting

    Hawryluk, I., Hoeltgebaum, H., Mishra, S., Miscouridou, X., Schnekenberg, R. P., Whittaker, Charles Frederick, Vollmer, M., Flaxman, S., Bhatt, Samir & Mellan, T. A., 2021, p. 1258-1268. 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conferencePaperResearchpeer-review

  61. Published

    Genomic characterization and epidemiology of an emerging SARS-CoV-2 variant in Delhi, India

    Dhar, M. S., Marwal, R., Radhakrishnan, V. S., Ponnusamy, K., Jolly, B., Bhoyar, R. C., Sardana, V., Naushin, S., Rophina, M., Mellan, T. A., Mishra, S., Whittaker, C., Fatihi, S., Datta, M., Singh, P., Sharma, U., Ujjainiya, R., Bhatheja, N., Divakar, M. K., Singh, M. K. & 27 others, Imran, M., Senthivel, V., Maurya, R., Jha, N., Mehta, P., Vivekanand, A., Sharma, P., Arvinden, V. R., Chaudhary, U., Soni, N., Thukral, L., Flaxman, S., Bhatt, Samir, Pandey, R., Dash, D., Faruq, M., Lall, H., Gogia, H., Madan, P., Kulkarni, S., Chauhan, H., Sengupta, S., Kabra, S., Gupta, R. K., Singh, S. K., Agrawal, A. & Rakshit, P., 2021, In: Science. 374, 6570, p. 995-999 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  62. Indirect effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on malaria intervention coverage, morbidity, and mortality in Africa: a geospatial modelling analysis

    Weiss, D. J., Bertozzi-Villa, A., Rumisha, S. F., Amratia, P., Arambepola, R., Battle, K. E., Cameron, E., Chestnutt, E., Gibson, H. S., Harris, J., Keddie, S., Millar, J. J., Rozier, J., Symons, T. L., Vargas-Ruiz, C., Hay, S. I., Smith, D. L., Alonso, P. L., Noor, A. M., Bhatt, S. & 1 others, Gething, P. W., 2021, In: The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 21, 1, p. 59-69 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  63. Inference of malaria reproduction numbers in three elimination settings by combining temporal data and distance metrics

    Routledge, I., Unwin, H. J. T. & Bhatt, Samir, 2021, In: Scientific Reports. 11, 1, 14495.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  64. Modelling the impact of the tier system on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the UK between the first and second national lockdowns

    Laydon, D. J., Mishra, S., Hinsley, W. R., Samartsidis, P., Flaxman, S., Gandy, A., Ferguson, N. M. & Bhatt, Samir, 2021, In: BMJ Open. 11, 4, 6 p., e050346.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  65. Predicting the future distribution of antibiotic resistance using time series forecasting and geospatial modelling

    Jeffrey, B., Aanensen, D. M., Croucher, N. J. & Bhatt, Samir, 2021, In: Wellcome Open Research. 5, p. 1-26 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  66. Published

    Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission

    Nouvellet, P., Bhatia, S., Cori, A., Ainslie, K. E. C., Baguelin, M., Bhatt, S., Boonyasiri, A., Brazeau, N. F., Cattarino, L., Cooper, L. V., Coupland, H., Cucunuba, Z. M., Cuomo-Dannenburg, G., Dighe, A., Djaafara, B. A., Dorigatti, I., Eales, O. D., van Elsland, S. L., Nascimento, F. F., FitzJohn, R. G. & 30 others, Gaythorpe, K. A. M., Geidelberg, L., Green, W. D., Hamlet, A., Hauck, K., Hinsley, W., Imai, N., Jeffrey, B., Knock, E., Laydon, D. J., Lees, J. A., Mangal, T., Mellan, T. A., Nedjati-Gilani, G., Parag, K. V., Pons-Salort, M., Ragonnet-Cronin, M., Riley, S., Unwin, H. J. T., Verity, R., Vollmer, M. A. C., Volz, E., Walker, P. G. T., Walters, C. E., Wang, H., Watson, O. J., Whittaker, Charles Frederick, Whittles, L. K., Xi, X. & Ferguson, N. M., 2021, In: Nature Communications. 12, 1, 1090.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  67. The association between mechanical ventilator compatible bed occupancy and mortality risk in intensive care patients with COVID-19: a national retrospective cohort study

    Wilde, H., Mellan, T., Hawryluk, I., Dennis, J. M., Denaxas, S., Pagel, C., Duncan, A., Bhatt, Samir, Flaxman, S., Mateen, B. A. & Vollmer, S. J., 2021, In: BMC Medicine. 19, 1, 213.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  68. Published

    Track Omicron's spread with molecular data

    Scott, L., Hsiao, N., Moyo, S., Singh, L., Tegally, H., Dor, G., Maes, P., Pybus, O. G., Kraemer, M. U. G., Semenova, E., Bhatt, Samir, Flaxman, S., Faria, N. R. & de Oliveira, T., 2021, In: Science. 374, 6574, p. 1454-1455 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalLetterpeer-review

  69. Using hawkes processes to model imported and local malaria cases in near-elimination settings

    Unwin, J. T. H., Routledge, I., Flaxman, S., Rizoiu, M. A., Lai, S., Cohen, J., Weiss, D. J., Mishra, S. & Bhatt, Samir, 2021, In: PLOS Computational Biology. 17, 4, e1008830.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  70. Vaccinating adolescents against SARS-CoV-2 in England: a risk–benefit analysis

    Gurdasani, D., Bhatt, Samir, Costello, A., Denaxas, S., Flaxman, S., Greenhalgh, T., Griffin, S., Hyde, Z., Katzourakis, A., McKee, M., Michie, S., Ratmann, O., Reicher, S., Scally, G., Tomlinson, C., Yates, C., Ziauddeen, H. & Pagel, C., 2021, In: Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine. 114, 11, p. 513-524 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  71. 2020
  72. Inference of COVID-19 epidemiological distributions from Brazilian hospital data

    Hawryluk, I., Mellan, T. A., Hoeltgebaum, H., Mishra, S., Schnekenberg, R. P., Whittaker, C., Zhu, H., Gandy, A., Donnelly, C. A., Flaxman, S. & Bhatt, Samir, Nov 2020, In: Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  73. Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil

    Candido, D. S., Claro, I. M., de Jesus, J. G., Souza, W. M., Moreira, F. R. R., Dellicour, S., Mellan, T. A., du Plessis, L., Pereira, R. H. M., Sales, F. C. S., Manuli, E. R., Thézé, J., Almeida, L., Menezes, M. T., Voloch, C. M., Fumagalli, M. J., Coletti, T. M., da Silva, C. A. M., Ramundo, M. S., Amorim, M. R. & 58 others, Hoeltgebaum, H. H., Mishra, S., Gill, M. S., Carvalho, L. M., Buss, L. F., Prete, C. A., Ashworth, J., Nakaya, H. I., Peixoto, P. S., Brady, O. J., Nicholls, S. M., Tanuri, A., Rossi, Á. D., Braga, C. K. V., Gerber, A. L., de Guimarães, A. P. C., Gaburo, N., Alencar, C. S., Ferreira, A. C. S., Lima, C. X., Levi, J. E., Granato, C., Ferreira, G. M., Francisco, R. S., Granja, F., Garcia, M. T., Moretti, M. L., Perroud, M. W., Castiñeiras, T. M. P. P., Lazari, C. S., Hill, S. C., de Souza Santos, A. A., Simeoni, C. L., Forato, J., Sposito, A. C., Schreiber, A. Z., Santos, M. N. N., de Sá, C. Z., Souza, R. P., Resende-Moreira, L. C., Teixeira, M. M., Hubner, J., Leme, P. A. F., Moreira, R. G., Nogueira, M. L., Ferguson, N. M., Costa, S. F., Proenca-Modena, J. L., Vasconcelos, A. T. R., Bhatt, Samir, Lemey, P., Wu, C. H., Rambaut, A., Loman, N. J., Aguiar, R. S., Pybus, O. G., Sabino, E. C. & Faria, N. R., 4 Sep 2020, In: Science. 369, 6508, p. 1255-1260 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  74. Potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study

    Hogan, A. B., Jewell, B. L., Sherrard-Smith, E., Vesga, J. F., Watson, O. J., Whittaker, C., Hamlet, A., Smith, J. A., Winskill, P., Verity, R., Baguelin, M., Lees, J. A., Whittles, L. K., Ainslie, K. E. C., Bhatt, S., Boonyasiri, A., Brazeau, N. F., Cattarino, L., Cooper, L. V., Coupland, H. & 34 others, Cuomo-Dannenburg, G., Dighe, A., Djaafara, B. A., Donnelly, C. A., Eaton, J. W., van Elsland, S. L., FitzJohn, R. G., Fu, H., Gaythorpe, K. A. M., Green, W., Haw, D. J., Hayes, S., Hinsley, W., Imai, N., Laydon, D. J., Mangal, T. D., Mellan, T. A., Mishra, S., Nedjati-Gilani, G., Parag, K. V., Thompson, H. A., Unwin, H. J. T., Vollmer, M. A. C., Walters, C. E., Wang, H., Wang, Y., Xi, X., Ferguson, N. M., Okell, L. C., Churcher, T. S., Arinaminpathy, N., Ghani, A. C., Walker, P. G. T. & Hallett, T. B., 1 Sep 2020, In: The Lancet Global Health. 8, 9, p. e1132-e1141

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  75. Have deaths from COVID-19 in Europe plateaued due to herd immunity?

    Okell, L., Verity, R., Watson, O., Mishra, S., Walker, P., Whittaker, C., Katzourakis, A., Donnelly, C., Riley, S., Ghani, A. C., Gandy, A., Flaxman, S., Ferguson, N. & Bhatt, Samir, 20 Jun 2020, In: The Lancet.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  76. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe

    Flaxman, S., Mishra, S., Gandy, A., Unwin, H. J. T., Mellan, T. A., Coupland, H., Whittaker, C., Zhu, H., Berah, T., Eaton, J. W., Monod, M., Perez-Guzman, P. N., Schmit, N., Cilloni, L., Ainslie, K. E. C., Baguelin, M., Boonyasiri, A., Boyd, O., Cattarino, L., Cooper, L. V. & 31 others, Cucunubá, Z., Cuomo-Dannenburg, G., Dighe, A., Djaafara, B., Dorigatti, I., van Elsland, S. L., FitzJohn, R. G., Gaythorpe, K. A. M., Geidelberg, L., Grassly, N. C., Green, W. D., Hallett, T., Hamlet, A., Hinsley, W., Jeffrey, B., Knock, E., Laydon, D. J., Nedjati-Gilani, G., Nouvellet, P., Parag, K. V., Siveroni, I., Thompson, H. A., Verity, R., Volz, E., Walters, C. E., Wang, H., Wang, Y., Watson, O. J., Winskill, P., Bhatt, Samir & Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team, I. C. C. R. T., 2020, In: Nature. 584, 7820, p. 257-261 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  77. State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States

    Unwin, H. J. T., Mishra, S., Bradley, V. C., Gandy, A., Mellan, T. A., Coupland, H., Ish-Horowicz, J., Vollmer, M. A. C., Whittaker, C., Filippi, S. L., Xi, X., Monod, M., Ratmann, O., Hutchinson, M., Valka, F., Zhu, H., Hawryluk, I., Milton, P., Ainslie, K. E. C., Baguelin, M. & 33 others, Boonyasiri, A., Brazeau, N. F., Cattarino, L., Cucunuba, Z., Cuomo-Dannenburg, G., Dorigatti, I., Eales, O. D., Eaton, J. W., Elsland, S. L. V., FitzJohn, R. G., Gaythorpe, K. A. M., Green, W., Hinsley, W., Jeffrey, B., Knock, E., Laydon, D. J., Lees, J., Nedjati-Gilani, G., Nouvellet, P., Okell, L., Parag, K. V., Siveroni, I., Thompson, H. A., Walker, P., Walters, C. E., Watson, O. J., Whittles, L. K., Ghani, A. C., Ferguson, N. M., Riley, S., Donnelly, C. A., Bhatt, Samir & Flaxman, S., 2020, In: Nature Communications. 11, 6189 .

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  78. Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo’

    Lavezzo, E., Franchin, E., Ciavarella, C., Cuomo-Dannenburg, G., Barzon, L., Del Vecchio, C., Rossi, L., Manganelli, R., Loregian, A., Navarin, N., Abate, D., Sciro, M., Merigliano, S., De Canale, E., Vanuzzo, M. C., Besutti, V., Saluzzo, F., Onelia, F., Pacenti, M., Parisi, S. G. & 31 others, Carretta, G., Donato, D., Flor, L., Cocchio, S., Masi, G., Sperduti, A., Cattarino, L., Salvador, R., Nicoletti, M., Caldart, F., Castelli, G., Nieddu, E., Labella, B., Fava, L., Drigo, M., Gaythorpe, K. A. M., Ainslie, K. E. C., Baguelin, M., Bhatt, Samir, Boonyasiri, A., Boyd, O., Cattarino, L., Ciavarella, C., Coupland, Helen Louise, Cucunubá, Z., Cuomo-Dannenburg, G., Djafaara, B. A., Donnelly, C. A., Dorigatti, I., Mishra, S. & Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team, I. C. C. R. T., 2020, In: Nature. 584, 7821, p. 425-429 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  79. The impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression in low- And middle-income countries

    Walker, P. G. T., Whittaker, C., Watson, O. J., Baguelin, M., Winskill, P., Hamlet, A., Djafaara, B. A., Cucunubá, Z., Mesa, D. O., Green, W., Thompson, H., Nayagam, S., Ainslie, K. E. C., Bhatia, S., Bhatt, S., Boonyasiri, A., Boyd, O., Brazeau, N. F., Cattarino, L., Cuomo-Dannenburg, G. & 29 others, Dighe, A., Donnelly, C. A., Dorigatti, I., Van Elsland, S. L., FitzJohn, R., Fu, H., Gaythorpe, K. A. M., Geidelberg, L., Grassly, N., Haw, D., Hayes, S., Hinsley, W., Imai, N., Jørgensen, D., Knock, E., Laydon, D., Mishra, S., Nedjati-Gilani, G., Okell, L. C., Unwin, H. J., Verity, R., Vollmer, M., Walters, C. E., Wang, H., Wang, Y., Xi, X., Lalloo, D. G., Ferguson, N. M. & Ghani, A. C., 2020, In: Science. 369, 6502, p. 413-422 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  80. Tracking progress towards malaria elimination in China: Individual-level estimates of transmission and its spatiotemporal variation using a diffusion network approach

    Routledge, I., Pascual, M. (ed.), Lai, S., Battle, K. E., Ghani, A. C., Gomez-Rodriguez, M., Gustafson, K. B., Mishra, S., Unwin, J., Proctor, J. L., Tatem, A. J., Li, Z. & Bhatt, Samir, 2020, (E-pub ahead of print) In: PLOS Computational Biology.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

ID: 255978193