Ageing may have limited impact on future costs of primary care providers
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Ageing may have limited impact on future costs of primary care providers. / Madsen, Jannie; Serup-Hansen, Niels; Kragstrup, Jakob; Kristiansen, Ivar Sønbø.
In: Scandinavian Journal of Primary Health Care, Vol. 20, No. 3, 09.2002, p. 169-73.Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Ageing may have limited impact on future costs of primary care providers
AU - Madsen, Jannie
AU - Serup-Hansen, Niels
AU - Kragstrup, Jakob
AU - Kristiansen, Ivar Sønbø
PY - 2002/9
Y1 - 2002/9
N2 - OBJECTIVE: To project the future costs of primary care providers in Denmark, taking into account high costs in the last year of life.DESIGN: Observational study and modelling.SETTING: Primary health care providers (doctors, dentists, physiotherapists, etc.), but not nursing homes and home help services.METHODS: The Danish population for the years 1995-2020 was projected on the basis of the current population using the cohort-component method. Average costs of use of various types of primary care providers were estimated from a 19.2% random sample of the 1995 population. Future costs were then projected using the population projection and age- and sex-specific average costs for survivors and non-survivors.RESULTS: The population was projected to increase by 8.2%, while the estimated increase was 36.1% for people aged over 50 years. Future costs of primary care providers were projected to increase by 8.2%, i.e. proportionally to the population increase.CONCLUSIONS: The results of the study indicate that demographic changes will Influence future costs of primary care providers through an increasing population size, but not because of ageing. This conclusion is independent of whether high costs in the last year of life are accounted for or not.
AB - OBJECTIVE: To project the future costs of primary care providers in Denmark, taking into account high costs in the last year of life.DESIGN: Observational study and modelling.SETTING: Primary health care providers (doctors, dentists, physiotherapists, etc.), but not nursing homes and home help services.METHODS: The Danish population for the years 1995-2020 was projected on the basis of the current population using the cohort-component method. Average costs of use of various types of primary care providers were estimated from a 19.2% random sample of the 1995 population. Future costs were then projected using the population projection and age- and sex-specific average costs for survivors and non-survivors.RESULTS: The population was projected to increase by 8.2%, while the estimated increase was 36.1% for people aged over 50 years. Future costs of primary care providers were projected to increase by 8.2%, i.e. proportionally to the population increase.CONCLUSIONS: The results of the study indicate that demographic changes will Influence future costs of primary care providers through an increasing population size, but not because of ageing. This conclusion is independent of whether high costs in the last year of life are accounted for or not.
KW - Adolescent
KW - Adult
KW - Aged
KW - Aged, 80 and over
KW - Child
KW - Child, Preschool
KW - Denmark
KW - Female
KW - Forecasting
KW - Health Care Costs/trends
KW - Health Services Needs and Demand/economics
KW - Humans
KW - Infant
KW - Infant, Newborn
KW - Male
KW - Middle Aged
KW - Population Dynamics
KW - Primary Health Care/economics
U2 - 10.1080/028134302760234636
DO - 10.1080/028134302760234636
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 12389755
VL - 20
SP - 169
EP - 173
JO - Scandinavian Journal of Primary Health Care
JF - Scandinavian Journal of Primary Health Care
SN - 0281-3432
IS - 3
ER -
ID: 324178206