Socialising Attribution of Climate Events: Progress, Myths and Future Outlook

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n the past decade there has been increasing attention on the development of the science of climate attribution and the potential challenges and opportunities presented by this science. Attribution is a branch of climate science which focuses on assessing the causal links between anthropogenic and natural influences on the climate manifested in slow-onset and individual extreme weather events. In this paper we aim to to give a brief progress update on event attribution science from the literature. We focus our assessment of the literature on three myths around attribution and correct the perspective on what science can and cannot do. We do this conceptually using myth analysis which has been applied to understand ideologies, ‘common sense’ and accepted truths in a range of environmental topics. Finally, we assess discursive interactions between how and where climate science and in particular attribution could expand to be more useful at the science-society interface, and how civil society could be involved to use or to shape attribution science. This final aim is the “socialising attribution” and clarifies what attribution could do.
Original languageEnglish
JournalSSRN Electronic Journal
DOIs
Publication statusAccepted/In press - 2023

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