TY - JOUR

T1 - The impact of COVID‐19 on consumption poverty in Mozambique

AU - Barletta, Giulia

AU - Castigo, Finório

AU - Egger, Eva-Maria

AU - Keller, Michael

AU - Salvucci, Vincenzo

AU - Tarp, Finn

PY - 2022

Y1 - 2022

N2 - This study assesses the impact of COVID-19 on household consumption poverty. To predict changes in income and the associated effects on poverty, we rely on existing estimated macroeconomic impacts. We assume two main impact channels: direct income/wage and employment losses. Our simulations suggest that consumption decreased by 7.1%–14.4% and that poverty increased by 4.3–9.9 percentage points in 2020. This points to a reversal of the positive poverty reduction trend observed in previous years. Poverty most certainly increased in the pre-COVID period due to other shocks, so Mozambique finds itself in a deepening struggle against poverty.

AB - This study assesses the impact of COVID-19 on household consumption poverty. To predict changes in income and the associated effects on poverty, we rely on existing estimated macroeconomic impacts. We assume two main impact channels: direct income/wage and employment losses. Our simulations suggest that consumption decreased by 7.1%–14.4% and that poverty increased by 4.3–9.9 percentage points in 2020. This points to a reversal of the positive poverty reduction trend observed in previous years. Poverty most certainly increased in the pre-COVID period due to other shocks, so Mozambique finds itself in a deepening struggle against poverty.

KW - Faculty of Social Sciences

KW - CoVID-19

KW - inequality

KW - Mozambique

KW - poverty

U2 - 10.1002/jid.3599

DO - 10.1002/jid.3599

M3 - Journal article

C2 - 35465455

VL - 34

SP - 771

EP - 802

JO - Journal of International Development

JF - Journal of International Development

SN - 0954-1748

IS - 4

ER -