Diagnostic instability in psychiatry

Psychiatric diagnoses often change over time—especially early in the illness. We systematically examine diagnostic stability in children, youth, and adults using nationwide hospital register data.
Systematically study diagnostic stability of psychiatric diagnoses among children, youth and adults using nationwide register-based hospital data.
Project period: 2022-
Many clinicians in psychiatry are familiar with the uncertainty that arises when diagnosing a patient who experiences mental health symptoms for the first time. Research has consistently shown that psychiatric diagnoses often change over time. This diagnostic instability is especially common early in the course of illness, when limited information is available about the patient’s symptoms, social development, and response to treatment. At this stage, key signs that could later alter the diagnosis may not yet have appeared. As a result, it is both common and appropriate for clinicians to treat early diagnoses as provisional. In the ongoing absence of objective biological markers to predict the course of psychiatric disorders, having detailed knowledge about likely diagnostic pathways following an initial presentation can be highly valuable. Such insights can help clinicians guide patients and their families about possible outcomes, initiate appropriate interventions, and plan follow-up care that takes into account the risk of diagnostic changes over time.
During 10 years of follow-up, 86 804 (46.9%) of 184 949 adult patients had at least one subsequent diagnosis that differed from their first-time diagnosis. Using sequence analyses updating diagnoses every six months, we measured diagnostic instability by mean normalized entropy values during a 10-year follow-up period. We showed that persistent delusional disorders (ICD-10: F22), mental and behavioral disorders due to multiple drug use and use of other psychoactive substances (ICD-10:F19), and acute and transient psychotic disorders (ICD-10:F23) had the highest diagnostic variability, whereas eating disorders (ICD-10:F50) and non-organic sexual dysfunction (ICD-10:F52) had the lowest.
Publications
Links to other dissemination
Dansk studie: Sådan udvikler de 20 mest almindelige psykiatriske sygdomme sig
https://ugeskriftet.dk/nyhed/nyt-studie-hver-anden-psykiatripatient-far-en-ny-diagnose
Student projects
Master thesis in Public Health Science entitled ‘Diagnostic Trajectories of Depression: A 5-Year Follow-Up Study in a Danish Psychiatric Cohort’ 2025 by Viola Becker, University of Copenhagen

Research group leader
Terese Høj Jørgensen
Associate Professor
Email: tshj@sund.ku.dk
Phone: +4535335886
Staff
| Name | Title | Phone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Jørgensen | Clinical Research Associate Professor | ||
| Merete Osler | Clinical Professor | +4538633280 | |
| Terese Høj Jørgensen | Associate Professor | +4535335886 |