Urban and transport planning related exposures and mortality: A health impact assessment for cities

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

  • Natalie Mueller
  • David Rojas-Rueda
  • Xavier Basagaña
  • Marta Cirach
  • Cole-Hunter, Tom
  • Payam Dadvand
  • David Donaire-Gonzalez
  • Maria Foraster
  • Mireia Gascon
  • David Martinez
  • Cathryn Tonne
  • Margarita Triguero-Mas
  • Antònia Valentín
  • Mark Nieuwenhuijsen

Background: By 2050, nearly 70% of the global population is projected to live in urban areas. Because the environments we inhabit affect our health, urban and transport designs that promote healthy living are needed. Objective: We estimated the number of premature deaths preventable under compliance with international exposure recommendations for physical activity (PA), air pollution, noise, heat, and access to green spaces. Methods: We developed and applied the Urban and TranspOrt Planning Health Impact Assessment (UTOPHIA) tool to Barcelona, Spain. Exposure estimates and mortality data were available for 1,357,361 residents. We compared recommended with current exposure levels. We quantified the associations between exposures and mortality and calculated population attributable fractions to estimate the number of premature deaths preventable. We also modeled life-expectancy and economic impacts. Results: We estimated that annually, nearly 20% of mortality could be prevented if international recommendations for performance of PA; exposure to air pollution, noise, and heat; and access to green space were followed. Estimations showed that the greatest portion of preventable deaths was attributable to increases in PA, followed by reductions of exposure to air pollution, traffic noise, and heat. Access to green spaces had smaller effects on mortality. Compliance was estimated to increase the average life expectancy by 360 (95% CI: 219, 493) days and result in economic savings of 9.3 (95% CI: 4.9, 13.2) billion EUR/year. Conclusions: PA factors and environmental exposures can be modified by changes in urban and transport planning. We emphasize the need for a) the reduction of motorized traffic through the promotion of active and public transport and b) the provision of green infrastructure, both of which are suggested to provide opportunities for PA and for mitigation of air pollution, noise, and heat.

Original languageEnglish
JournalEnvironmental Health Perspectives
Volume125
Issue number1
Pages (from-to)89-96
Number of pages8
ISSN0091-6765
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2017
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
This study was supported by internal CREAL funding. M.T.-M. is funded by a grant from the Catalan Government (AGAUR FI-DGR-2013). P.D. is funded by a Ramón y Cajal fellowship (RYC-2012-10995) awarded by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Finance.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2017, Public Health Services, US Dept of Health and Human Services. All rights reserved.

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